Data from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) was recently updated. They are now predicting fewer deaths in Wisconsin and an earlier peak date.
Original data was predicting Wisconsin would see a COVID-19 peak on April 27, now they're saying that date will come ten days earlier on April 17. This peak day will be the worst day of this pandemic. We will see the highest death rate and most hospital resource usage.
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With this update, IHME is predicting we will see 665 fewer deaths than initially thought. With the new numbers, IHME is predicting Wisconsin will see a total of 644 deaths by June 1. Initially, that number was 1,309.
IHME broke down why these numbers have changed and what that means on their website. Click here for a full break down.
The numbers have also changed for the United States as a whole. The peak day still sits on the same date, April 15.
Initially, IHME was predicting over 93,000 deaths nationwide. Now, that number sits at 81,766.
While this is still a lot of sick Americans and a lot of deaths, there's a bright side: the numbers are getting smaller. Let's hope the trend continues.